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Lieberman, Warner seek 70% emissions cut by 2050

August 2nd, 2007

Sens. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) — [does this make him an Icon?] — and John Warner (R-Va.) unveiled their long-awaited climate plan. It looks pretty good to me because

  1. It is bipartisan — indeed, it follows the strategy recommended by moderate senators like Mary Landrieu (D-La.), Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.)
  2. It starts quickly — by 2012 we must return to 2005 levels.
  3. It has a credible 2050 target — and requires regular reports from the National Academy of Sciences on the “extent to which the emissions reductions achieved under the Act no, together with actual steps taken by other nations, stabilize atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations at a level adequate to forestall catastrophic impacts of climate change.”
  4. It does not have a safety valve, but instead has banking and borrowing.

This plan will be the starting point for legislation from Sen. Boxer (D-CA). Here is a detailed summary from Greenwire (subs. req’d):

Under the draft proposal, electric utilities, major industrial manufacturers and petroleum refiners and importers would be required to limit their emissions to 2005 levels beginning in 2012. Those sources must then cut their greenhouse gases 10 percent by 2020, with an end target of a 70 percent reduction in 2050.

Senior Senate Democrats and some environmental groups welcomed the proposal to the already-brewing debate on Capitol Hill. “This proposal has taken good ideas from a variety of bills and will be an excellent starting point for the committee,” said Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.), chairwoman of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee.

Boxer said she planned to move a climate bill through her committee before the end of the year.
Allowances and auctions

As in many other proposals before them, industries covered under Lieberman and Warner’s new U.S. carbon market would be able to purchase credits for compliance through a cap-and-trade program. More than half of the annual pollution credits — likely worth at least tens of billions of dollars — would be distributed for free to the power companies and manufacturers most directly confronted with new requirements.

A newly created Climate Change Credit Corporation also would oversee an auction for the distribution of 24 percent of the credits.

In the program’s opening year, coal fired power plants would receive 20 percent of their allowances for free based on the amount of their historic energy use. Load-serving entities that provide electricity to households across the country also would receive 10 percent of the allowances for free as a way to help offset costs of increased energy on low and middle-income consumers.

Manufacturers would receive 20 percent of their allowances for free too, a method that one Lieberman aide said would help them compete with overseas competitors not under the same regulatory burdens.

Over time, the free allowances for the electric utility industry would be slowly phased out. By 2035, power companies would have to purchase their credits through an auction.

Auction revenue every year would go toward a variety of efforts, including 20 percent to a public-private partnership working on the commercialization of low and zero-greenhouse gas electricity sources. Another 20 percent would go solely to the deployment of a power plant that can capture and store carbon dioxide underground in deep geologic formations.

New transportation technologies would also benefit through the auction revenues, with 20 percent set aside for new efforts to move Americans around with low or zero greenhouse gases. Reducing vehicle miles traveled also would qualify for the auction revenue.

The auction revenue also would be distributed — 10 percent each — to help wildlife and water bodies adapt to climate change, for the deployment of conventional air pollution technologies, for states and local government adaptation practices and for international relief measures.
Other sticking points

The Lieberman-Warner proposal pulls from several senators’ earlier ideas, including a bill from Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) that would set up a mandatory greenhouse gas registry. Under Lieberman-Warner, U.S. EPA must set up an emissions monitoring system for the regulated industries within two years of the bill’s enactment into law.

To control the costs of the new program, the proposal would set up a seven-member Carbon Market Efficiency Board with a task for tracking the cap-and-trade system much like the Federal Reserve monitors the U.S. economy. The board would track prices for carbon dioxide in the emerging U.S. market and allows industry a flexible option if compliance prices stay too high for too long. Warner and Sens. Mary Landrieu (D-La.), Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.) and Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) introduced the cost-containment proposal last week.

Also attached is a plan from Sens. Jeff Bingaman (D-N.M.) and Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) that seeks to bring along some of the world’s fastest growing economies, such as China and India. Under the Lieberman-Warner plan, U.S. trading partners must purchase pollution credits for their carbon-intensive exports if they do not have sufficient global warming policies in place. The president of the United States would have to impose the trade restrictions without eight years of the start of the U.S. program.

On another key point, the Lieberman-Warner plan allows industry to meet up to 15 percent of its emission requirements through the purchase of carbon offsets, such as sound farming and forestry practices and methane capture. The formal legislation, the senators said, would include “detailed, rigorous requirements” to make sure the offsets represent “real, additional, verifiable and permanent emissions reductions.”

Lieberman and Warner do not address the sticking point of what to do about the growing suite of state laws and policies on global warming. Many industry groups and even some lawmakers have called for federal pre-emption if a new U.S. policy goes into place. But aides to the two senators said they stayed silent on the issue for now and would expect to hear about the issue over the coming weeks.
Mixed reaction

The Lieberman-Warner plan doesn’t satisfy everyone.

U.S. PIRG’s Emily Figdor issued a statement calling the proposal “an encouraging starting point” for the Senate’s global warming debate. But she cautioned that it doesn’t go far enough because it would regulate only about 80 percent of the nation’s overall emissions.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) echoed PIRG’s comments. “As good as it is, I hope we can do better,” Sanders said. Scott Segal, an attorney that represents electric utilities and manufacturers, said he was just beginning a review of the proposal. “Conceptually, the preliminary documents reflect some potentially useful innovations,” he said. “However, as with most complicated issues, the devil will be in the legislative details.”

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7 Responses to “Lieberman, Warner seek 70% emissions cut by 2050”

  1. David Says:

    70%? that’s the best the US can do?? How come other countires are talking about 80% and we’re setting the lower even before the real deal-making and compromising begins? Is there any one in teh scientific community who thinks 70% is adequate?

  2. Jesse Jenkins Says:

    I think you’re being quick to jump on the Lieberman-Warner band-wagon, Joe. It is decent proposal, one with several elements that could work well - the bank/borrow cost control mechanisms are much better than a safety valve provisions, for example - but why sell ourselves short of the kind of emissions reductions we both know we have to achieve if we want a decent chance (just a decent chance, mind you, and no guarantee) that we can avert disastrous climate change and avoid crossing the Tipping Point?

    The targets in this bill are still not satisfactory. 70% by 2050 is close to 80% by 2050, but remember that cumulative emissions is what’s important, and the targets proceed downward in a stairstep pattern (not linearly or exponentially like Boxer-Sanders or Waxman). That means cumulative emissions under Lieberman-Warner are even worse when compared to Boxer-Sanders or Waxman than you would guess when comparing just the final 2050 targets. Additionally, the interim targets are also weaker than necessary.

    We should be aiming for at least a freeze in emissions growth by 2010, a return to 1990 levels by 2020, a cut of 20-30% below 1990 levels by 2030-2035 on track to an 80% or greater reduction by 2050. Progress between those checkpoints should be steady and we should avoid ’stair-step’ targets.

    Anything less is simply unlikely to get the job done, right? And what good is a policy that doesn’t get the job done?!

    As David points out, we’re starting from these inadequate proposals. Imagine what targets we’ll get at by the time we’re done trying to pass this thing! Remember what happened to the Bingaman and Udall RPS proposals in the Senate and House…

    Let’s call Lieberman-Warner what it is: a thoughtful and helpful step in the right direction, but not the bill we want to see passed.

  3. Jesse Jenkins Says:

    Indeed, with (by my count) 58% of all emissions given away for free to industry polluters, this proposal still amounts to a major corporate giveaway of a public good - the right to pollute our commonly-owned air and damage our climate.

    Some industry giveaways will probably be necessary to get a bill passed, but with only 24% of the allowances auctioned under the Lieberman-Warner proposal, we’re again starting from a position of compromise instead of a position of strength. How much further will we need to degrade this bill to get it through this congress? What kind of giveaways do you think we’ll have to make to get passed Senate Republicans who fought off even a modest renewable portfolio standard proposal and a package of clean energy tax incentives? And how much worse will this bill have to get if we want President Bush to sign it?

    Proposals like this are not how we’re going to be build strength and momentum towards the day when we can pass a real climate change solutions package - a day that will surely come after January 2009. Nothing President Bush will sign will be worth having. We ought to keep that in mind…

    (Also worth pointing out that this proposal ignores about 20% of U.S. emissions, including emissions from the ag, natural gas and waste disposal sectors, so those emissions reduction targets are even less sufficient than they look)

  4. D DICKENS Says:

    I don’t think we should do anything to weaken an already weak American economy. Make sure that other countries such as China and India come to compliance with the rest of the world, if your that concerned about global warming build an ark, oh yea you would have to cut a tree to do that.

  5. Mary Frances Says:

    This is great news. However, in the meantime I still have to breathe in the chemicals that are emitted from the petroleum plant that sits directly across the street from the elementary school where I teach. In recent months we have had to go on lock down because something was released into the air. We were never told what it was. We have a high number of students with asthma. I myself have developed strange rashes and other symptoms like headache, nausea, and lethargy just to name a few. Can you refer me to an agency that can help us correct this situation?

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  7. Boli Says:

    Well the US already has limitted manufacturing industries here at home continue giving major industries reasons to send their products over seas and continue to outsource US jobs. Yea we will be concerned with polluting the environment, while in the mean time China and India get richer cause they don’t care about their air quality. While you are at it make it harder for the power and energy companies to produce their services because these companies can not really outsource. Oh yea but they can certainly hike their prices so they can comply with this new law. I think this sounds like a good plan! Their is a lot of in between the lines in this bill that we do not know about because we have not actually read all of the bill. Is ACORN profitting from this too…HUMMMMMM???? It already seems the “white house” is accomodating everything else in there agenda…what will come next…

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