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Archive for October, 2007

Presidential campaigns, including Giuliani’s, discuss energy and climate

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

Earlier this week, representatives of four presidential candidates (two Democrat, two Republican) appeared for an issues briefing at the National Press Club on energy policy — videos here (warning, they are kind of boring). The short version is that the politically polite rhetoric managed to smooth over the sticky policy points: details of a cap and trade program and nuclear energy policy.

Congressman David E. Bonior spoke on behalf of John Edwards, Senator Tom Daschle on behalf of Barack Obama, former Secretary of Energy John S. Herrington for Rudy Giuliani, and Douglas J. Holtz-Eakin for John McCain.

The representatives loved to point out that they agreed on two things: leadership and urgency. The discussion was diplomatic and strategically ambiguous, as they did not all agree which required leadership and urgency – energy policy or climate policy.

Secretary Herrington was the outlier whose priority was clearly energy policy (and it’s no wonder, given his background). Only Herrington expressed hesitation regarding a cap and trade program, while the others sparred more over details of a plan. Rather than discuss climate, Herrington repeatedly revolve his comments around Giuliani’s two energy priorities: investing in nuclear energy for our electricity sector and using natural gas to fuel our vehicle fleet. [JR -- a truly pointless idea since 1) natural gas can be used twice as efficiently displacing coal power and 2) if natural gas became a major transport fuel, we'd have to import it, so it doesn't solve our energy security problem.]

Since Giuliani is the Republican front-runner, this lame energy/climate policy is quite discouraging.

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Baucus boosts Warner-Lieberman prospects

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

baucus.jpgThe climate bill by Sens. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.) and John Warner (R-Va.) is NOT the greatest thing since sliced bread, but with improvements it wouldn’t be bad. And right now, it looks like it is the only bill with the mojo to make it through the Senate Environment and Public Works committee.

E&E Daily (subs. req’d) report the bill is gaining key support:

Sen. Max Baucus (D-Mont.) added momentum to global warming legislation yesterday when he announced his support for a bill that proposes to set mandatory caps on heat-trapping emissions.

“It’s not too far to the left, not too far to the right,” Baucus said [of the Lieberman-Warner bill]. “It’s balanced, therefore it’s most likely to succeed.”

Baucus represents a key swing vote on the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee and his support moves Lieberman and Warner within sight of the one-vote majority necessary to pass their bill, S. 2191, “America’s Climate Security Act,” during a subcommittee markup next Thursday.

The rest of the story, with more details on the likely prospects for votes in EPW and comments by industry, follows:

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What to do about the Farm Bill?

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

biofuels.jpgI am no expert on the intricacies of the farm bill, but it will have a huge impact on climate. Fortunately the Center for American Progress does have an expert, Jake Caldwell. He has written a great piece, “A New Farm Bill: The Work is Not Finished.” I will excerpt the energy-related parts:

Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman Tom Harkin (D-IA) and the Senate Agriculture and Senate Finance Committees have done a commendable job so far preparing for the next generation of cellulosic biofuels–liquid fuels sustainably produced from energy crops such as switchgrass and agricultural wastes such as corn stalks and rice hulls. The Senate bill increases funding for farmers growing new biofuel feedstocks in a sustainable manner. It also provides significant provisions for increasing research and development by bolstering financial incentives for new cellulosic biofuel refineries and increasing funding that would allow biorefineries to purchase and transport diverse biofuel feedstocks.

The Energy Title of the Senate Farm Bill also provides for the use of transparent certification and labeling criteria to encourage sustainable production of biofuels through the innovative “Voluntary Renewable Biomass Certification Program.” An investment in advanced biofuels must be accompanied by enhanced environmental safeguards and incentives for biofuel producers to conserve land and water resources, maximize lifecycle greenhouse gas emission reductions and the low carbon characteristics of fuels, and grow energy crops in a sustainable manner.

What is the farm bill missing, energy-wise?

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Hellish humor

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

Wildfires aren’t just the “Hell” in Hell and High Water….

toles2.gif

Get used to high oil prices

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

No one is going to come to the rescue on the supply side — and, of course, we remain stuck with an administration that doesn’t believe in demand-reduction strategies.

opec.gifAs the Wall Street Journal (subs. req’d) reported in “OPEC’s Lever Loses Its Pull on Oil“:

Oil prices are hovering near historic highs, but consuming nations shouldn’t expect quick relief from OPEC, the world’s only source for big, quick supplies.

For several reasons, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries has neither the clear leverage nor the inclination to open the spigots and drive down the price of crude, which jumped past $90 a barrel in intraday trading in New York last week for the first time.

This figure shows how little spare capacity OPEC has — essentially none outside of Saudi Arabia, and the Saudis have no inclination to initiate a major price drop, especially since these prices do not appear to be destroying demand.

Moreover, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned back in July that it saw “OPEC spare capacity declining to minimal levels by 2012.

And the WSJ notes no one outside of OPEC will be coming to the rescue either:

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Climate News Roundup

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

The climate news is coming so fast and furious, I can’t keep up!

At the Poles, Melting Occurring at Alarming RateThe Washington Post. A first-rate article on what’s happening at the North and South poles. Quotable quote: “I just don’t see a happy ending for this,” said Ted Scanbos, who studies the polar ice at the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

Wildfires force California to postpone EPA lawsuitBoston Globe. A tiny irony: Wildfires, whose severity may be in part due to global warming, has led to at least a week delay in the state suing EPA to let it restrict greenhouse gas emissions from vehicles.

How to Cool the GlobeNYT Op-Ed. A pro-geo-engineering piece. Climate Progress has previously debunked this particular strategy here and here.

Two new climate blogs

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

In general, I have been critical of media coverage of global warming. So I am pleased to announce that two of the best environmental journalists have launched blogs:

I’ve decided to focus Dot Earth on the broad-brush theme of sustainability for a few reasons. One is that “slow drip” issues are hard to capture and convey through traditional media tools, which are mostly (and appropriately) focused on dramatic events happening now, not eventually momentous trends that hide in plain sight.

Another is that some of the underlying problems related to humanity’s impact on the environment are largely irreversible. The greenhouse effect appears a lot easier to amplify than to reduce. Extinction is forever (at least for now). Such issues deserve sustained attention.

White House climate censorship continues

Wednesday, October 24th, 2007

The shameless attempt to deny the American public the truth about climate impacts continue. As the AP reports:

Testimony that the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention planned to give yesterday to a Senate committee about the impact of climate change on health was significantly edited by the White House, according to two sources familiar with the documents.

Specific scientific references to potential health risks were removed after Julie L. Gerberding submitted a draft of her prepared remarks to the White House Office of Management and Budget for review.

Instead, Gerberding’s prepared testimony before the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee included few details on what effects climate change could have on the spread of disease….

A CDC official familiar with both versions said Gerberding’s draft “was eviscerated.”

Wouldn’t want the public knowing the health impacts of its do-nothing climate policy.

If you’d like to see the original testimony, here it is, courtesy of Climate Science Watch. Compare that to the eviscerated version here. Stunning and petty at the same time.

Must our long national climate nightmare continue for another 15 months?

Climate Change Economics — Comments Sought

Wednesday, October 24th, 2007

I am writing a reply to this hit-piece in Slate, “Save the Earth in Six Hard Questions: What Al Gore doesn’t understand about climate change.” [link fixed]

You can probably imagine what I’m going to say, but I’d love any thoughts or ideas for links you have (hopefully today).

Global warming and the California wildfires

Wednesday, October 24th, 2007

ca-wildfires.jpg

Global warming makes wildfires more likely and more destructive — as many scientific studies have concluded. Why? Global warming leads to more intense droughts, hotter weather, earlier snowmelt (hence less humid late summers and early autumns), and more tree infestations (like the pine beetle). That means wildfires are a dangerous amplifying feedback, whereby global warming causes more wildfires, which release carbon dioxide, thereby accelerating global warming.

The climate-wildfire link should be a special concern in this country where, since 2000, wildfires have burned an area larger than the state of Idaho.

I write this as my San Diego relatives wait anxiously in their hotel room to find out if their Rancho Santa Fe home has been destroyed. This is a beautiful home that I lived in for a month when I moved to the area in the mid-1980s to study at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography.

Can we say that the brutal San Diego wildfires were directly caused by global warming? Princeton’s Michael Oppenheimer put it this way on NBC Nightly News Tuesday:

The weather we’ve seen this fall may or may not be due to the global warming trend, but it’s certainly a clear picture of what the future is going to look like if we don’t act quickly to cut emissions of the greenhouse gases.

Thomas Swetnam, University of Arizona climate scientist, who coauthored a major study on the subject (see below) said in 2006:

We’re showing warming and earlier springs tying in with large forest fire frequencies. Lots of people think climate change and the ecological responses are 50 to 100 years away. But it’s not 50 to 100 years away–it’s happening now in forest ecosystems through fire.

I researched wildfires for my book — hence the “Hell” in Hell and High Water — and my view is closer to Swetnam’s for several reasons.

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Cartoon on Lieberman-Warner bill

Wednesday, October 24th, 2007

Amusing, if harsh….

liebermancartoon.jpg

Hansen testimony to the Iowa Utilities Board on coal and climate — comments welcome

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

NASA’s James Hansen just circulated the following email:

My testimony submitted to the Iowa Utilities Board on Monday October 22 is available here. Because of recent distractions, but mainly because of my plodding writing pace, I only completed text for the introductory and paleoclimate parts. I included figures for the remaining parts and added a quick caption to each figure.

As it turns out, we were then granted a 10-day extension, so I will be sending another version late next week. And I hope to make a better presentation for later coal cases, so any criticisms are welcome.

If you have any comments, post them and I’ll pass them along.

What is Hansen’s bottom line?

Saving the planet and creation surely requires phase-out of coal use except where the CO2 is captured and sequestered.

Here! Here!

Save the Children

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

When I was a child in the 1950s, I went about my business with a little cloud hanging over my head. It didn’t matter whether I was playing in the backyard, studying in my bedroom or suffering from my first romantic crush (Annette on the Mickey Mouse Club). The cloud was always there.

It was the fear of nuclear war. We lived in suburbs west of Chicago. All day long, jets flew overhead on their way to O’Hare International Airport, sometimes so high that they were just a silver spot gleaming in the sun as they moved across the sky. When I saw one, I stopped what I was doing and waited several minutes to see if a mushroom cloud appeared to the east over Chicago. Once I saw the mushroom, I knew from school, our neighborhood would be flattened a few seconds later.

It never happened, of course. I can’t say that the cloud ruined my childhood or followed me into adulthood, but its shadow came back to mind Friday night (Oct. 19) as I watched John Stossel’s latest “Give Me a Break” segment on ABC.

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Carbon emissions race past all predictions

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

Carbon emissions are soaring at an unprecedented rate, as previously noted.

We’re reaching the point where, without a World-War-II scale effort to change our energy system, it might be easier to just remove the words “and our posterity” from the Preamble to the United States Constitution.

This point was underscored yesterday, or at least implied, at the Carnegie Institution for Science, where global-ecology scientist Chris Field presented the results of an astonishing paper published today in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, “Contributions to accelerating atmospheric CO2 growth from economic activity, carbon intensity, and efficiency of natural sinks” — the paper is not yet online (I will post the link when it is) but you can see the press release here.

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Tom Friedman on ‘the greenest thing you can do’

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

In an op-ed titled, “Save the Planet: Vote Smart,” N.Y. Times columnist Tom Friedman makes a point that is a central theme of this blog:

People often ask: I want to get greener, what should I do? New light bulbs? A hybrid? A solar roof? Well, all of those things are helpful. But actually, the greenest thing you can do is this: Choose the right leaders. It is so much more important to change your leaders than change your light bulbs.

Why? Because leaders write the rules, set the standards and offer the tax incentives that drive market behavior across a whole city, state or country. Whatever any of us does individually matters a tiny bit. But when leaders change the rules, you get scale change across the whole marketplace. And the energy-climate challenge we face today is a huge scale problem. Without scale, all you have is a green hobby.

Have no illusions, everything George Bush wouldn’t do on energy after 9/11 — his resisting improved mileage for cars and actually trying to weaken air-conditioner standards – swamped any good works you did….

So if you want to be a green college kid or a green adult, don’t fool yourself: You can change lights. You can change cars. But if you don’t change leaders, your actions are nothing more than an expression of, as Dick Cheney would say, “personal virtue.”

And the Winner is… Germany.

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

From October 12th through 18th architecture and engineering students from 20 universities camped on the National Mall as part of the Department of Energy’s Solar Decathlon, which takes place every two years. You can get a virtual tour of all the houses here.

The purpose of the competition is to envision, design, construct and operate a home that runs entirely on solar energy. The university teams take part in ten contests for which they receive marks to determine the decathlon’s winner. The contests include architecture, landscaping, engineering, appliances, hot water, lighting, marketability, the ability to maintain a comfortable temperature inside the home, and ohters.

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Dry me a River: Climate change and drought

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

drybed-large.jpgThe drought/climate connection is starting to get more attention, as evidence by

  1. A long, must-read article in the New York Times magazine, “The Future Is Drying Up.”
  2. A great interview on the Diane Rehm show on U.S. Weather Patterns and Drought with Gerald Galloway, former brigadier general in U.S. Army Corps of Engineers; Mark Svoboda, climatologist, National Drought Mitigation Center; and Richard Heim, Meteorologist NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center
  3. A good post from RealClimate on the drought in Turkey.

The Times piece has some great material:

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Taking on the “China Excuse” for inaction

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

On October 11, one of CAP’s interns, Zoe Brown, attended an Innovation Symposium with a handful of climate-concerned characters (see below). Here are her thoughts:

The Atlantic and BMW sponsored From Ideas to Solutions: Overcoming the Challenge of Climate Change, held at the Meridian International Center Meyer-White House. The panel discussion included Nancy Kete from the World Resources Institute, Gregg Easterbrook from Brookings, John Podesta from the Center for American Progress, and moderator Jason Grumet from the National Commission on Energy Policy.

Many issues were covered by the panelists, but what struck me as especially relevant was their discussion of the U.S.’s role on the international scene. The panelists took this opportunity to address the U.S.’s use of the ‘China excuse.’

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Time for Green Collar Jobs

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

This morning the Center for American Progress hosted an event on Green Collar Jobs — sort of like blue collar jobs, but with an environmentally-sustainable edge to economic development.

The panel was packed with four leaders (an activist, a community organizer, a city government rep. and a private real estate developer). They were: Van Jones (Ella Baker Center in Oakland, CA), Majora Carter (Sustainable South Bronx in NYC), Sadhu Johnston (City of Chicago), and Carlton Brown (Full Spectrum, LLC).

Collectively, they outlined the problem:

  • global warming
  • environmental injustice: the likelihood of low-income communities also being where waste facilities and power plants tend to concentrate — and, most likely to be where African-American and Latino communities are located
  • unemployment, its correlation with imprisonment, and the generally poor management of human capital

More importantly, they focused on the solution:

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Citizens Lead for Energy Action Now (CLEAN)

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

Well, they dropped a bundle to get a quarter-page “Clean Power” ad in the Washington Post (page A21 today) so the least I can do is give them a shout out on Climate Progress.

CLEAN is a “clean power and coalfield state grassroots organization” circulating a comprehensive national “call to action” on energy policy that includes:

  • a five-year moratorium on new coal-fired power plants
  • increased investments and tax credits for stepped-up renewable energy production
  • greater emphasis on energy efficiency in all new construction
  • a sharp jump in federal mile per gallon (MPG) fuel efficiency standards
  • changes in personal energy consumption patterns.

And a lot more — you can read the long version of the call to action text here.

Glad to see more groups joining the fight to conserve a livable climate.