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	<title>Comments on: The Antarctic ice sheet hits the fan</title>
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	<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/</link>
	<description>The Latest on Climate Science, Solutions, and Politics</description>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-25789</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Dec 2008 20:31:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-25789</guid>
		<description>Here is a link for the complete article by Eric Rignot et al.  http://www.phys.uu.nl/~broeke/home_files/MB_pubs_pdf/2008_Rignot_NatGeo.pdf

The article discusses ice flux - or the rate of ice addition to ice subtraction.  Some ice is added in the form of snowfall, while some ice is subtracted (usually at the edges).  One must be careful when reading the article to understand precisely what is being discussed.  The issue is not overall ice loss, it is the rate of ice flux.

What Eric clearly says is that there is basically a zero flux in the eastern part of Antarctica (meaning that ice loss is balanced by ice addition.  

In western Antarctica, there is increasing ice flux due to increased acceleration of some of the glaciers. 

As Eric explains:

&quot;Mass losses in the Amundsen Sea and the northern Peninsula are caused by ongoing acceleration, not by a change in snowfall because snowfall increased in 1980–2004, especially in the Peninsula. Fast flow is explained by the ungrounding of glaciers owing to the thinning or collapse of their buttressing ice shelves6 or to a reduction in backforce resistance at the ice front as glacier fronts thin because of warmer air or warmer ocean temperatures.&quot;

But when you look at the global anomaly maps, it is clear that there is a local warming trend which would be the cause of mass loss in that portion of the Antarctic.

But one cannot infer that all of Antarctica is going to melt.  Indeed, Eric clearly states that there is no loss in east Antarctica, and there has been increased snow fall during the study period.

Furthermore, it must be noted that 2007 was the highest level of Antarctic sea ice extent (almost 2,000,000 square miles above the mean) http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/current.anom.south.jpg

If one looks at the anomaly trend, the ice appears to be slightly *increasing* since about 1990. 

So, while there is increased ice loss in certain areas, there is also increased ice addition (through increased snowfall), and in some parts, no net ice loss at all.

[&lt;em&gt;JR:  You are mixing apples [ice mass] with oranges [sea ice].  The article is quite clear -- as is Rignot (and others) more recently -- that Antarctica is losing significant net ice mass some 100 years faster than the climate models said they would.&lt;/em&gt;]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is a link for the complete article by Eric Rignot et al.  <a href="http://www.phys.uu.nl/~broeke/home_files/MB_pubs_pdf/2008_Rignot_NatGeo.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://www.phys.uu.nl/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>~broeke/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>home_files/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>MB_pubs_pdf/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>2008_Rignot_NatGeo.pdf</a></p>
<p>The article discusses ice flux &#8211; or the rate of ice addition to ice subtraction.  Some ice is added in the form of snowfall, while some ice is subtracted (usually at the edges).  One must be careful when reading the article to understand precisely what is being discussed.  The issue is not overall ice loss, it is the rate of ice flux.</p>
<p>What Eric clearly says is that there is basically a zero flux in the eastern part of Antarctica (meaning that ice loss is balanced by ice addition.  </p>
<p>In western Antarctica, there is increasing ice flux due to increased acceleration of some of the glaciers. </p>
<p>As Eric explains:</p>
<p>&#8220;Mass losses in the Amundsen Sea and the northern Peninsula are caused by ongoing acceleration, not by a change in snowfall because snowfall increased in 1980–2004, especially in the Peninsula. Fast flow is explained by the ungrounding of glaciers owing to the thinning or collapse of their buttressing ice shelves6 or to a reduction in backforce resistance at the ice front as glacier fronts thin because of warmer air or warmer ocean temperatures.&#8221;</p>
<p>But when you look at the global anomaly maps, it is clear that there is a local warming trend which would be the cause of mass loss in that portion of the Antarctic.</p>
<p>But one cannot infer that all of Antarctica is going to melt.  Indeed, Eric clearly states that there is no loss in east Antarctica, and there has been increased snow fall during the study period.</p>
<p>Furthermore, it must be noted that 2007 was the highest level of Antarctic sea ice extent (almost 2,000,000 square miles above the mean) <a href="http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/current.anom.south.jpg" rel="nofollow">http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>cryosphere/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>IMAGES/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>current.anom.south.jpg</a></p>
<p>If one looks at the anomaly trend, the ice appears to be slightly *increasing* since about 1990. </p>
<p>So, while there is increased ice loss in certain areas, there is also increased ice addition (through increased snowfall), and in some parts, no net ice loss at all.</p>
<p>[<em>JR:  You are mixing apples [ice mass] with oranges [sea ice].  The article is quite clear &#8212; as is Rignot (and others) more recently &#8212; that Antarctica is losing significant net ice mass some 100 years faster than the climate models said they would.</em>]</p>
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		<title>By: Brewster</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-24939</link>
		<dc:creator>Brewster</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Dec 2008 19:26:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-24939</guid>
		<description>Trucker;

I do believe that you&#039;re right that the interior of Greenland under the ice is 300 feet below sea level...

That scares the H*** out of me, because I read quite a long time ago that the interior is being depressed by the weight of the ice on top.

What will happen as the ice melts? Will the land not rise? The resultant earthquakes and increased ice flow downslope to the ocean could be disastrous, with Tsunamius and rapid sea level rise...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trucker;</p>
<p>I do believe that you&#8217;re right that the interior of Greenland under the ice is 300 feet below sea level&#8230;</p>
<p>That scares the H*** out of me, because I read quite a long time ago that the interior is being depressed by the weight of the ice on top.</p>
<p>What will happen as the ice melts? Will the land not rise? The resultant earthquakes and increased ice flow downslope to the ocean could be disastrous, with Tsunamius and rapid sea level rise&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: MediaMangler</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-10065</link>
		<dc:creator>MediaMangler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Mar 2008 22:36:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-10065</guid>
		<description>True.  check out.
http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/2008/02/16/ice-between-canada-and-sw-greenland-highest-level-in-15-years/
many scientists don&#039;t consider ice breaking off as evidence of global warming, but rather the ice thickness.  Which is INCREASING.  How does that link to CO2?   
Guess the terrorist aren&#039;t dpoing a good enough job of scaring the american public.  Maybe they&#039;ll be afraid of some ice!!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>True.  check out.<br />
<a href="http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/2008/02/16/ice-between-canada-and-sw-greenland-highest-level-in-15-years/" rel="nofollow">http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>2008/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>02/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>16/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>ice-between-canada-and-sw-greenland-highest-level-in-15-years/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span></a><br />
many scientists don&#8217;t consider ice breaking off as evidence of global warming, but rather the ice thickness.  Which is INCREASING.  How does that link to CO2?<br />
Guess the terrorist aren&#8217;t dpoing a good enough job of scaring the american public.  Maybe they&#8217;ll be afraid of some ice!!</p>
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		<title>By: KuhnKat</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-10012</link>
		<dc:creator>KuhnKat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Mar 2008 00:45:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-10012</guid>
		<description>Y&#039;all ARE aware that the THICKNESS of both the Greenland and Antarctica ice has been increasing approximately balancing the losses at the edges??

http://www.heartland.org/Article.cfm?artId=21204

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Y&#8217;all ARE aware that the THICKNESS of both the Greenland and Antarctica ice has been increasing approximately balancing the losses at the edges??</p>
<p><a href="http://www.heartland.org/Article.cfm?artId=21204" rel="nofollow">http://www.heartland.org/Article.cfm?artId=21204</a></p>
<p>HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA</p>
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		<title>By: ober-statistiker</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-9452</link>
		<dc:creator>ober-statistiker</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Mar 2008 14:54:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-9452</guid>
		<description>Something for both sides.  Confusius say, &quot;never try to teach a pig to sing.  It wastes your time and it annoys the pig&quot;.  

Is is very entertaining reading the &quot;sound science&quot; comments critiqing the science of global warming.  Our president would certainly agree.  Good to have such scientific expertise weigh in on your side, Bob and Peter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Something for both sides.  Confusius say, &#8220;never try to teach a pig to sing.  It wastes your time and it annoys the pig&#8221;.  </p>
<p>Is is very entertaining reading the &#8220;sound science&#8221; comments critiqing the science of global warming.  Our president would certainly agree.  Good to have such scientific expertise weigh in on your side, Bob and Peter.</p>
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		<title>By: Peter Foley</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-8500</link>
		<dc:creator>Peter Foley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2008 19:58:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-8500</guid>
		<description>I been reviewing the IPCC models and it appears the the model uses a 5 degree by 5 degree data(datum)? grid-- thus it is over representing the arctic and temperate regions grossly-- a little spherical trigonometry would provide a correction factor.  For example the North pole and South pole would actually cover O square units and the 85 degree grid points would be ~17%? of the area represented by a equatorial grid area.
I hope the model isn&#039;t this crude--I expect more from a world changing work.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I been reviewing the IPCC models and it appears the the model uses a 5 degree by 5 degree data(datum)? grid&#8211; thus it is over representing the arctic and temperate regions grossly&#8211; a little spherical trigonometry would provide a correction factor.  For example the North pole and South pole would actually cover O square units and the 85 degree grid points would be ~17%? of the area represented by a equatorial grid area.<br />
I hope the model isn&#8217;t this crude&#8211;I expect more from a world changing work.</p>
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		<title>By: Bob</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-8490</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2008 13:42:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-8490</guid>
		<description>Well for the warming period we just finished we were losing ice every year..now we appear to be in a cooling cycle and ice should grow every year.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well for the warming period we just finished we were losing ice every year..now we appear to be in a cooling cycle and ice should grow every year.</p>
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		<title>By: Peter Foley</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-8380</link>
		<dc:creator>Peter Foley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2008 00:52:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-8380</guid>
		<description>Joe,  Which number is made up?  I got the amount of annual rainfall off an Antarctic website, the rest are extracted from your post above.   The area of the Continent is ~14 million Square Kilometers, ice at 2 klicks thick,  teach me.  You posted the amount of water leaving the Antarctic, but selectively forgot to add the annual snowfall to the other side of the equation--which is 12X the loss.  Thus I arrived at an answer closer to the truth then the chicken little &quot;the ice is melting, the ice is melting&quot;  I hope you have  started to work on your post AGW career resume--you will want to beat the rush to leave the sinking ship before all the life boats are gone.  But seriously let us have some balance on the portrayal of the facts--if AGW is actually happening you should not have to spin the reality of natural events.

Do you have any knowledge regarding my questioning  the use of Mercator projection distorting models and peoples perceptions?
 Is anything I stated about the flimsy data pre satellite era regarding the temperature grid incorrect?
Obviously I&#039; m on the other side of the aisle when it comes to political issues (Most people that work for government naturally think more government is better--People that pay for government treat it like the weed it is and constantly fight to reduce it),  but we ought to be able to come to the same conclusion from the same set of complete science facts.
Face it you missed the mark on the rate of ice gain(loss) of Antarctica.  Just how did those 200000 year old ice cores make through the last warm period?  I expect more rigor from a MIT grad with a doctorate in Physics.  Again I welcome any correction of fact, method, or any other relevant area, but no dogma please.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Joe,  Which number is made up?  I got the amount of annual rainfall off an Antarctic website, the rest are extracted from your post above.   The area of the Continent is ~14 million Square Kilometers, ice at 2 klicks thick,  teach me.  You posted the amount of water leaving the Antarctic, but selectively forgot to add the annual snowfall to the other side of the equation&#8211;which is 12X the loss.  Thus I arrived at an answer closer to the truth then the chicken little &#8220;the ice is melting, the ice is melting&#8221;  I hope you have  started to work on your post AGW career resume&#8211;you will want to beat the rush to leave the sinking ship before all the life boats are gone.  But seriously let us have some balance on the portrayal of the facts&#8211;if AGW is actually happening you should not have to spin the reality of natural events.</p>
<p>Do you have any knowledge regarding my questioning  the use of Mercator projection distorting models and peoples perceptions?<br />
 Is anything I stated about the flimsy data pre satellite era regarding the temperature grid incorrect?<br />
Obviously I&#8217; m on the other side of the aisle when it comes to political issues (Most people that work for government naturally think more government is better&#8211;People that pay for government treat it like the weed it is and constantly fight to reduce it),  but we ought to be able to come to the same conclusion from the same set of complete science facts.<br />
Face it you missed the mark on the rate of ice gain(loss) of Antarctica.  Just how did those 200000 year old ice cores make through the last warm period?  I expect more rigor from a MIT grad with a doctorate in Physics.  Again I welcome any correction of fact, method, or any other relevant area, but no dogma please.</p>
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		<title>By: Joe</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-8374</link>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Feb 2008 20:36:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-8374</guid>
		<description>Peter -- what can I say?  You are making up numbers that have no connection to reality</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Peter &#8212; what can I say?  You are making up numbers that have no connection to reality</p>
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		<title>By: Peter Foley</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-global-warming/#comment-8234</link>
		<dc:creator>Peter Foley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jan 2008 04:29:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/01/14/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-hits-the-fan/#comment-8234</guid>
		<description>Joe, did you read my post?  The ice is building up according to the data presented--by a factor of ~12 to 1.  You are a victim of your selective filtering of reality--you see the edges of the Antarctic ice melting into the oceans but ignore the snowfall over 14 million square miles.   I&#039; ve read how the the temperature grid(IPCC) used for the oceans and the Southern hemisphere are mostly guesstimates and WAGs (wild #$s guesses)pre- satellite era.   If the historical data are even off by one sixth of one percent( 0.5degrees Celsius) the alleged temperature change returns to interglacial normal rate of warming.   On  the maps and models used I&#039;m trying to find out if they distort the arctic areas as they are shown as Mercator projections that exaggerate the areas of the poles.  Are the climate-computer models as poorly rendered?  Its okay to be wrong when you&#039;re not reaching into my wallet or limiting my economic future with the latest version of a tulip bulb mania.  The present version of reality being pushed by the AGW group needs to be thoroughly proven before we lower the global economy&#039;s rate of growth by over one percent for the next two generations dooming billions to extra years of poverty.   Everyone naturally would like to be the center of attention--even climatologists.  Without the threat of GW they are just another tribe of underfunded scientists.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Joe, did you read my post?  The ice is building up according to the data presented&#8211;by a factor of ~12 to 1.  You are a victim of your selective filtering of reality&#8211;you see the edges of the Antarctic ice melting into the oceans but ignore the snowfall over 14 million square miles.   I&#8217; ve read how the the temperature grid(IPCC) used for the oceans and the Southern hemisphere are mostly guesstimates and WAGs (wild #$s guesses)pre- satellite era.   If the historical data are even off by one sixth of one percent( 0.5degrees Celsius) the alleged temperature change returns to interglacial normal rate of warming.   On  the maps and models used I&#8217;m trying to find out if they distort the arctic areas as they are shown as Mercator projections that exaggerate the areas of the poles.  Are the climate-computer models as poorly rendered?  Its okay to be wrong when you&#8217;re not reaching into my wallet or limiting my economic future with the latest version of a tulip bulb mania.  The present version of reality being pushed by the AGW group needs to be thoroughly proven before we lower the global economy&#8217;s rate of growth by over one percent for the next two generations dooming billions to extra years of poverty.   Everyone naturally would like to be the center of attention&#8211;even climatologists.  Without the threat of GW they are just another tribe of underfunded scientists.</p>
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