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Archive for September, 2008

McCain suspends his campaign to deal with climate crisis

Wednesday, September 24th, 2008

John McCain issued a remarkable statement earlier today in response to reports that runaway climate change may have begun:

America this week faces an historic crisis in our climate system. We must pass legislation to address this crisis. If we do not, the Southwest will dry up, with devastating consequences for our economy. If we do not act, every corner of our country will be impacted. We cannot allow this to happen.

Last spring, I laid out my proposal and I have since discussed my priorities and concerns. Senator Obama has expressed his priorities and concerns. This morning, I met with a group of advisers to talk about the steps that we should take going forward. I have also spoken with members of Congress to hear their perspective.

It has become clear that we are running out of time.

Tomorrow morning, I will suspend my campaign and return to Washington after speaking at the Clinton Global Initiative. I have spoken to Senator Obama and informed him of my decision and have asked him to join me.

I am calling on the President to convene a meeting with the leadership from both houses of Congress, including Senator Obama and myself. It is time for both parties to come together to solve this problem.

We must meet as Americans, not as Democrats or Republicans, and we must meet until this crisis is resolved. I am directing my campaign to work with the Obama campaign and the commission on presidential debates to delay Friday night’s debate until we have taken action to address this crisis.

I am confident that before Monday we can achieve consensus on legislation that will stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations, protect taxpayers and homeowners, and earn the confidence of the American people. All we must do to achieve this is temporarily set politics aside, and I am committed to doing so.

Following September 11th, our national leaders came together at a time of crisis. We must show that kind of patriotism now. Americans across our country lament the fact that partisan divisions in Washington have prevented us from addressing our national challenges. Now is our chance to come together to prove that Washington is once again capable of leading this country.

A blogger can dream, no? I will say that I didn’t have to change very many words from his actual remarks today.

Related Posts:

UK Ministry of Defence: Global warming goes on, deniers are deluded

Wednesday, September 24th, 2008

The UK’s Met Office issued a blunt statement yesterday, “Global warming goes on,” that begins:

Anyone who thinks global warming has stopped has their head in the sand. The evidence is clear — the long-term trend in global temperatures is rising, and humans are largely responsible for this rise. Global warming does not mean that each year will be warmer than the last, natural phenomena will mean that some years will be much warmer and others cooler. You only need to look at 1998 to see a record-breaking warm year caused by a very strong El Niño. In the last couple of years, the underlying warming is partially masked caused by a strong La Niña. Despite this, 11 of the last 13 years are the warmest ever recorded.

Strong stuff from the UK’s official provider of climate and weather-related analysis, which is actually within the UK’s Ministry of Defence. The UK’s Guardian reported the story as “Met Office says climate change deniers deluded.”

The Met Office has put together an interesting figure to show that global warming has continued at a pace of 0.17°C per decade since 1975 (red line), although the decadal trends (blue lines) have fluctuated wildly.

Global average temperature anomaly 1975-2007

As the Met Office explains:

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Will the renewable energy tax credits finally be extended?

Wednesday, September 24th, 2008

I have not been blogging on the new tax credit package, since it’s hard to justify getting people’s hopes up over this given how badly the enviros and the Dems messed up on coastal drilling.

But the Senate has passed out a (flawed) tax bill, and now it is in the hands of the House Dems, who have yanked out some of the dirtiest incentives. Here is today E&E Daily piece, which describes the state of play:

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Sarah Palin is the fungible candidate

Wednesday, September 24th, 2008

NewsI have a new article in Salon on Sarah Palin, “The fungible candidate.” But it is really about the (lack of) judgment of John McCain. He famously said of his VP pick, “She knows more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America.”

As we’ll see Palin lacks both breadth and depth of knowledge on the subject.

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House Dems embrace “Drill, baby, drill”

Wednesday, September 24th, 2008

The AP reports:

Democrats have decided to allow a quarter-century ban on drilling for oil off the Atlantic and Pacific coasts to expire next week, conceding defeat in an month-long battle with the White House and Republicans set off by $4 a gallon gasoline prices this summer.

Appropriations Committee Chairman David Obey, D-Wis., told reporters Tuesday that a provision continuing the moratorium will be dropped this year from a stopgap spending bill to keep the government running after Congress recesses for the election….

Democrats had clung to the hope of only a partial repeal of the drilling moratorium, but the White House had promised a veto, Obey said.

Amazing, really. Would Bush have shut down the government before the bailout bill was passed — assuming the Democrats had been smart enough to do the stopgap spending bill (with limits on drilling plus a renewable tax credit extenstion) first?

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Has runaway climate change begun?

Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008

The UK’s Independent reported today some pretty shocking news in “Exclusive: The methane time bomb“:

The first evidence that millions of tons of a greenhouse gas 20 times more potent than carbon dioxide is being released into the atmosphere from beneath the Arctic seabed has been discovered by scientists.

The Independent has been passed details of preliminary findings suggesting that massive deposits of sub-sea methane are bubbling to the surface as the Arctic region becomes warmer and its ice retreats.

Assuming these findings are published in a peer-reviewed publication, as is planned, they should be taken quite seriously for four reasons. First, many fear that a huge methane release is what happened during the Permian-Triassic extinction event and the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. Second, releasing even a small fraction of the sub-sea methane would make a stabilizing greenhouse gas emissions at non-catastrophic concentrations all but impossible.

Third, as NOAA reported earlier this year, levels of methane rose sharply last year for the first time since 1998:

methane2.jpg

Fourth, the findings are apparently based on very new and credible in situ measurements:

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The savings from cutting California’s carbon “outweigh the costs”

Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008

In 2006 the California legislature passed AB32, which required greenhouse pollution to return to 1990 levels by 2020. They left it up to state regulatory agencies to come up with the details.

Governor Schwarzenegger followed with an executive order that requires an 80% reduction from 1990 levels in greenhouse pollution by 2050 (at which time California’s is expected to be twice the 1990 population, so this represents a factor of ten per capita reduction in greenhouse pollution.)

The California Air Resources Board (CARB) has been working to meet various statutory deadlines for the reduction plan. Its proposed plan will be released next month (October). As part of the process, it has made estimates of the economic costs and benefits of its plans, and it released those estimates last week:

These estimates indicated that the overall savings from improved efficiency and developing alternatives to petroleum will, on the whole, outweigh the costs. This balance is largely driven by current high energy costs and the degree to which measures increase energy efficiency throughout the economy and move California toward ultimately cheaper alternatives to fossil fuels.

The measures pay for themselves — not even counting the benefit of helping to avoid catastrophic climate impacts. The executive summary lists the key elements of CARB’s preliminary recommendation for the 2020 target:

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Matt Simmons: “John McCain is energy illiterate. He’s just witless about this stuff.”

Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008

If you follow peak oil — and if you don’t, you will be bitchslapped by reality — then you know of Matt Simmons. I was introduced to him several years ago by my former boss at the Energy Department. Back then Simmons was merely one of the savviest financier in the oil services business, who was presciently warning all who would listen that natural gas supplies in this country would not respond quickly to increased prices and thus we should expect some serious price spikes.

Today he is “The prophet of $500 oil” as Fortune described him Monday. Yet, long before he published his 2005 book, Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy, he was a “lifelong Republican” who “helped edit the Bush campaign’s comprehensive energy plan in the 2000 election.” The word “comprehensive” of course is a laughable term that I’m sure even Simmons would mock today for a plan that focused almost exclusively on supply.

Still, Simmons remains well connected to Republicans: “Maine’s Senator Susan Collins, a Republican who recently began consulting with Simmons on energy issues, says, “I think he’s issuing a clarion call that policymakers need to listen to.”

Simmons was right about natural gas, and he appears to be (mostly) right about peak oil (see below), so the nation should listen closely when he speaks truth to power about his party’s own nominee:

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The New Top 10 Climate Blogs

Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008

Last summer, on the one-year anniversary of Climate Progress, I put together a list of the top 10 climate blogs. For the sake of objectivity, I used Technorati, which ranks all blogs by “authority” (the number of blogs linking to it). The lower the rank the better.

One of the blogs on that list, It’s Getting Hot In Here, has updated it (old ranks in parenthesis):

10. Climate Feedback (46,821 – #9) — “An informal forum for debate and commentary on climate science.”
9. A Few Things Ill Considered (35,362 - #2) — “A layman’s take on the science of Global Warming featuring a guide on How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic.”
8. SolveClimate.com (23,600 – NEW) – Daily Climate News and Opinion
7. Climate Ark (22,922 - #5) — “Climate Change and Global Warming Portal.”
6. Climate of Our Future (15,042 – #8) — “A discussion on climate change.”
5. It’s Getting Hot In Here (13,992 – #7) — “Dispatches from the youth climate movement.”
4. Celsias (8,394 – #3) — “Cooling the planet one project at a time.”
3. DeSmogBlog (6,671 – #4) — “Clearing the PR pollution that clouds climate science.”
2. Climate Progress (4,359 – #6) — “An insider’s view of climate science, politics, and solutions.”

…and the reigning champ:
1. RealClimate (3,222 – #1) — “Climate science from climate scientists.”

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Pickens learns the hard truth: Drill-only GOP hates alternative energy

Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008

Lobbying for his plan to sharply ramp up renewables, the billionaire oilman has been brought face to face with the Big Energy Lie — the absurd notion that either John McCain or the Republicans in Congress actually believe in an “all of the above” energy policy.

In my interview with Pickens last month, he was able to offer only the blandest reply to a question pointing out that Dems back renewables but the GOP doesn’t: “So let me ask you, how do we, how do we get Republicans to support that kind of investment in renewables.” See his rambling answer here “Pickens in a pickle: He embraces progressive policies but not progressive politicians.

TP reports on a sadder but wiser (and far more cogent) Pickens at the National Press Club yesterday:

Q: You told the New York Times last month that you’d never vote for a Democrat. Are you finding that difficult in reaching out to Democrats then with your plan? [...]

PICKENS: So I am having no problem working with the Democrats. Having a little problem working with the Republicans. They don’t like it because I want to do more than just drill. And they, somehow have gotten it, a lot of them have, that you can drill your way out of this. But you can’t do it. There’s not enough oil there to do it.

I guess he missed the GOP convention, see “Drill baby, drill”: The moment the Republic died.

You can see the video of Pickens here:

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GM’s Lutz is nuts. His PR guy ain’t much sharper.

Monday, September 22nd, 2008

http://www.mzb-group.com/commons/imgsUpl/2/mzb/br_chock.gifWhen we last left GM Vice Chair Bob Lutz, he had dismissed global warming as a “total crock of shit” (see “General Motors is full of crocks“). That would be Vice Chair of Global Product Development, not, say, a finance or sales guy, but somebody who is in charge of scientists, engineers, technicians, and oh, I don’t know, the entire future product line of the largest U.S. automaker.

So this bastion of good judgment goes on cable TV’s leading ridicule-fest, The Colbert Report — justification enough to fire him for cause — to plug the Volt, as it were, and goes Cro-Magnon again:

NUTS LUTZ: I accept that the planet is heated, but like many noted scientists, I don’t believe in the CO2 theory.
COLBERT COLBERT: … It’s just sunspot activity.
NUTS LUTZ: In the opinion of about 32,000 of the world’s leading scientists, yes.

Well, I accept that Lutz is a human being, but like many noted scientists, I don’t believes he is evidence of the evolution theory.

Anyway, responding to a piece on Huffingtonpost by Josh Nelson, “General Motors Executive Doesn’t Recognize Global Warming as Fact — He Should Be Fired,” GM’s Director of News Relations, Tom Wilkinson, had this helpful comment:

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What would a Green Recovery do for your state?

Monday, September 22nd, 2008

My post on the Bush bailout for the financial sector mentioned the “Green Recovery” report recently released by the Center for American Progress and Dr. Robert Pollin from the University of Massachusetts Political Economy Research Institute. Here’s a little more detail:

The report looks at how a $100 billion strategic investment can generate 2 million new, well-paying jobs (at least $16/hour) in the renewable and energy efficiency sectors and beyond. The chart below shows the breakdown of job creation:

Job Creation

The number of jobs created by this investment is four times what the same spending in the oil industry would create, as this chart illustrates:

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Chrysler, Mazda, Hyundai, and Nissan announce plug-ins — Honda stands alone against PHEVs

Monday, September 22nd, 2008

The number of companies planning plug-in hybrids is growing steadily. Some recent announcements can be found here. Calcars maintains an excellent update on “How Carmakers are Responding to the Plug-In Hybrid Opportunity.”

As for Honda, last year, the Wall Street Journal reported

Honda Motor Co. Chief Executive Takeo Fukui said so-called plug-in hybrid gasoline-electric vehicles [PHEVs] offered too few environmental benefits for his company to pursue, and noted that an advanced hybrid vehicle called the Chevrolet Volt that General Motors Corp. is aiming to launch in a few years made little sense.

But while pretty much every other major automaker in the world has realized the need to start developing a plug-in, Bloomberg reported last week, “Honda, Citing Battery Limits, Avoids Rush to Plug-Ins.”

Yes, the batteries still need improvement, but that is hardly a reason not to aggressively pursue what is certain to be the car of the future. What is particularly ludicrous about Honda’s position is that they remain enthusiastic about hydrogen cars — indeed, they are probably the only major automakers still drinking the hydrogen-flavored Kool-Aid– even though the technological hurdles are infinitely greater. Bloomberg reports:

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Is the financial crisis more dire than the climate crisis?

Sunday, September 21st, 2008

Not even close.

If there’s no action before 2012, that’s too late. What we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. This is the defining moment.

So warned IPCC head Rajendra Pachauri last fall when the IPCC released its major multi-year report synthesizing our understanding of climate science. And remember Pachauri was handpicked by the Bush administration to replace the “alarmist” Bob Watson. It’s the facts that make scientists alarmists, not their politics (see “Desperate times, desperate scientists“).

What happens if we fail to act in time to avert the climate catastrophe?

Worst of all, this utterly preventable catastrophe is probably irreversible on a time-scale of centuries, and thus threatens the health and well-being of our children and the their children and the next 50 generations.

A trillion-dollar climate rescue package would put us on the path to avert these catastrophic outcomes, jumpstart the transition to a clean energy economy, while largely paying for itself in energy savings. It would also sharply reduce the $10 to $20 trillion transfer of wealth to the oil exporters that we can expect over the next quarter century alone. Air pollution would drop sharply and millions of jobs would be created.

What happens if we fail to act in time to avert the financial catastrophe that Treasury Secretary Paulson says is now upon us:

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McCain facing tax vs. energy (non)dilemma

Sunday, September 21st, 2008

Congressional Quarterly has been suckered by the Greenwasher from Arizona — just like pretty much everyone else, as recently noted.

CQ just ran an article, “McCain Facing Tax vs. Energy Dilemma,” about “The Energy Improvement and Extension Act of 2008″ (described here) that asserts:

Republican presidential nominee John McCain may have to pick between two of his campaign’s principles next week when the Senate takes up an energy tax bill that would help subsidize new and existing renewable energy incentives with relatively small tax hikes on oil companies.

Then again, maybe he won’t be there to choose.

McCain has campaigned in favor of federal investment in wind power, solar energy, low-emission cars and trucks, and “clean coal” technology, all of which are included in the energy measure. But he also has said repeatedly that he opposes increasing taxes on oil companies.

[With apologies to Jon Stewart] Oh, Congressional Quarterly, why do you mock me?

You might think that a publication with the word “Congressional” in its name would write articles about members of Congress that were based on their Congressional voting records. Well, you wouldn’t think that, because you are readers of Climate Progress and wise in the ways of the world. But some random visitor from outer space would think that. All I can say is, stupid alien.

This is an incredibly easy vote for John McCain, a man of no remaining principles, to go by the last month — he picked a friggin’ global warming denier for is running mate, after all (see “Turns out McCain doesn’t care about global warming“), and he was accused of lying too much by Karl Rove! McCain thinks renewables “dont’ work,” he hates government subsidies for renewables, and his Big Oil buddies who both manage and fund his campaign hate even the tiniest reduction in their pork.

CQ does understand very recent voting history of enough to know what McCain is probably going to do — skip the vote entirely.

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Striking photos of Hurricane Ike — or what Hell and High Water will be like

Sunday, September 21st, 2008

I have resized some pictures from Hurricane Ike — pictures that are likely to become all-too-common sights in the decades to come, assuming we continue our do-nothing climate policy. Larger versions of these photos are available here.

This is Galveston Island:

ike2.jpg

This is Galveston.

ike3.jpg

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Karma Alert: There’s a 9% chance Obama loses popular vote but still wins election!

Saturday, September 20th, 2008

http://www.abovethelaw.com/images/entries/drudge%20siren.gif

The site for baseball-style statistical analysis applied to polling, FiveThirtyEight.com, finds:

Obama has developed a structural advantage in the Electoral College that is understated by the popular vote margin. If we break the election down into its four fundamental scenarios, it looks like this:

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The greenwasher from Arizona has a record as dirty as the denier from Oklahoma

Saturday, September 20th, 2008

John McCain's hot air

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) is an avowed climate science believer who comes from a state with enough solar resource to power the entire nation. Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK) is an avowed climate science denier who comes from a major oil patch state.

So why has McCain voted with Inhofe and against clean energy and the environment a staggering 42 out of 44 times since the mid-1990s? And that doesn’t even include eight straight votes on extending the renewable energy tax credits that McCain missed in the last year, where he would have sided with Inhofe and against a clean energy future.

The answer is that “Few politicians in history have more successfully sold a phony image about caring for the environment than Sen. John McCain” — which is the central point of my new Salon piece, “John McCain’s hot air.” The facts are clear: McCain is at best an out-of-touch green washer and at worst simply a pathological liar.

For instance, at an Aspen Institute meeting in August, when McCain was asked about those missed votes, he simply lied to the audience:

I have a long record of that support of alternate energy. I come from a state where we have sunshine 360 days a year…. I’ve always been for all of those and I have not missed any crucial vote.

As for McCain’s “long record of that support of alternate energy,” consider the votes on renewable energy funding and a federal “renewable portfolio standard” (RPS) that he did show up for this decade:

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Coal-to-Liquids in Defense Authorization Bill

Saturday, September 20th, 2008

Hopes that the Air Force would abandon CTL may have been premature. There is a backdoor approach in the works. According to Politico,

Democrats have all but pushed coal out of the clean energy debates, but the coal lobby might have found a new tap into the U.S. Treasury: the Pentagon.

The Defense Authorization Bill now being debated in the Senate includes a provision that would allow energy companies to sign 10-year contracts with the military to produce synthetic fuel.

The article goes on to describe the history behind the coal-to-liquids push at the Air Force. It quotes former Air Force Secretary Michael Wynne as saying:

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Satanic nukes? Finnish plant’s cost overruns to $6.66 billion

Friday, September 19th, 2008

666.jpgReuters reports the news — or perhaps I should call it the Revelation:

The expected building costs of a new nuclear reactor in Finland by France’s Areva have increased to 4.5 billion euros ($6.66 billion) from 3 billion.

Last year Bloomberg had a long article on the troubles plaguing Finland’s Olkiluoto-3, “the first nuclear plant ordered in Western Europe since the 1986 Chernobyl disaster.” By 2007, the plant had been delayed two years thanks to “flawed welds for the reactor’s steel liner, unusable water-coolant pipes and suspect concrete in the foundation.” It was also more than 25 percent over its 3 billion-euro ($4 billion) budget.

Yet a year later, the cost was up 50%, and Finland’s Radiation and Nuclear Safety Authority said “the supervision and ’safety culture’ of welding at the Olkiluoto-3 nuclear plant did not meet all of its standards and must be improved.”

Who could be responsible for all these flaws and cost overruns? Could it be … Satan? After all, The Book of Revelation clearly states:

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