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	<title>Comments on: Yes, the data show the planet STILL keeps warming</title>
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	<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/</link>
	<description>The Latest on Climate Science, Solutions, and Politics</description>
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		<title>By: Ronald</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22543</link>
		<dc:creator>Ronald</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 01:47:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22543</guid>
		<description>ah, but using the phrase &#039;atheist as a level of belief&#039; is dependant on the definition of atheist.   My and most atheists use that definition of atheist, that is &#039;without theist belief&#039; with &#039;theist&#039; being belief in god or gods.  If he meant here the definition of atheist as someone who &#039;knows there is no god&#039; which is the definition that many theists have for atheist, then the comment &#039;atheist&#039;s threshold for required proof before belief.&#039; means something else.

yah, who care&#039;s.   But if you debate these issues, the definition you use matters.

My quick answer to the &#039;does greenhouse gases matter so much&#039; question is that if we didn&#039;t have the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, we would be 59 F degrees cooler on the earth than we are now.   If we&#039;re adding from the start of the industrial revolution to now 280 PPM of CO2 and were now up to 380 and then make a quick mention of the positive feedbacks, increased water vapor and frozen areas of the earth about to warm and release methane.

That&#039;s to make it all plausible.   I try to mention that these aren&#039;t the stupid people who come up with this, but the smartest eggheads in everybodies science classes who came up with this.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ah, but using the phrase &#8216;atheist as a level of belief&#8217; is dependant on the definition of atheist.   My and most atheists use that definition of atheist, that is &#8216;without theist belief&#8217; with &#8216;theist&#8217; being belief in god or gods.  If he meant here the definition of atheist as someone who &#8216;knows there is no god&#8217; which is the definition that many theists have for atheist, then the comment &#8216;atheist&#8217;s threshold for required proof before belief.&#8217; means something else.</p>
<p>yah, who care&#8217;s.   But if you debate these issues, the definition you use matters.</p>
<p>My quick answer to the &#8216;does greenhouse gases matter so much&#8217; question is that if we didn&#8217;t have the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, we would be 59 F degrees cooler on the earth than we are now.   If we&#8217;re adding from the start of the industrial revolution to now 280 PPM of CO2 and were now up to 380 and then make a quick mention of the positive feedbacks, increased water vapor and frozen areas of the earth about to warm and release methane.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s to make it all plausible.   I try to mention that these aren&#8217;t the stupid people who come up with this, but the smartest eggheads in everybodies science classes who came up with this.</p>
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		<title>By: David B. Benson</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22521</link>
		<dc:creator>David B. Benson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Nov 2008 19:59:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22521</guid>
		<description>Larry Coleman --- Well stated. :-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Larry Coleman &#8212; Well stated. <img src='http://climateprogress.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: llewelly</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22501</link>
		<dc:creator>llewelly</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Nov 2008 15:13:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22501</guid>
		<description>mike:
&lt;blockquote&gt;
The internet and popular culture are flooded with global warming news bites, but they offer nothing convincing to somebody with an atheist’s threshold for required proof before belief.
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Doubtful. I read an awful lot of atheist blogs (and I am atheist), and it seems to me most atheists - with a few exceptions - think AGW is the best explanation for the evidence.

The alternative explanations - &#039;the data is faked&#039;, &#039;the data is bad&#039;, &#039;it&#039;s cosmic rays, not CO2&#039;, &#039;it&#039;s the sun, not CO2&#039;, &#039;it&#039;s geothermal, not CO2&#039;, and on and on are much more difficult to believe. Much more complicated as well, most of them.

The problem is not the required threshold for belief. The problem is AGW tells us we&#039;ve been very, very bad.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>mike:</p>
<blockquote><p>
The internet and popular culture are flooded with global warming news bites, but they offer nothing convincing to somebody with an atheist’s threshold for required proof before belief.
</p></blockquote>
<p>Doubtful. I read an awful lot of atheist blogs (and I am atheist), and it seems to me most atheists &#8211; with a few exceptions &#8211; think AGW is the best explanation for the evidence.</p>
<p>The alternative explanations &#8211; &#8216;the data is faked&#8217;, &#8216;the data is bad&#8217;, &#8216;it&#8217;s cosmic rays, not CO2&#8242;, &#8216;it&#8217;s the sun, not CO2&#8242;, &#8216;it&#8217;s geothermal, not CO2&#8242;, and on and on are much more difficult to believe. Much more complicated as well, most of them.</p>
<p>The problem is not the required threshold for belief. The problem is AGW tells us we&#8217;ve been very, very bad.</p>
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		<title>By: Lamont</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22481</link>
		<dc:creator>Lamont</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Nov 2008 05:53:46 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>mike, realclimate addressed that question here:

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/09/simple-question-simple-answer-no/

and i&#039;ll second the recommendation on:

http://www.aip.org/history/climate/index.html

and if you truly want a better connection to the science you&#039;re going to have to tackle something like this:

http://geosci.uchicago.edu/~rtp1/ClimateBook/ClimateBook.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>mike, realclimate addressed that question here:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/09/simple-question-simple-answer-no/" rel="nofollow">http://www.realclimate.org/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>index.php/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>archives/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>2008/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>09/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>simple-question-simple-answer-no/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span></a></p>
<p>and i&#8217;ll second the recommendation on:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.aip.org/history/climate/index.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.aip.org/history/climate/index.html</a></p>
<p>and if you truly want a better connection to the science you&#8217;re going to have to tackle something like this:</p>
<p><a href="http://geosci.uchicago.edu/~rtp1/ClimateBook/ClimateBook.html" rel="nofollow">http://geosci.uchicago.edu/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>~rtp1/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>ClimateBook/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>ClimateBook.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Larry Coleman</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22453</link>
		<dc:creator>Larry Coleman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 23:00:50 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Here are the things that are most convincing to me that GHGs are causing the observed warming.

1 - The warming is greater in winter than in summer, exactly what you expect if the warming is due to GHGs and exactly the opposite from what you expect if it is due to the Sun (deniers&#039; favorite claim).

2 - The warming shows up first in the Arctic, again what you expect if GHG-caused, not if solar.

3 - While the troposphere has warmed, the stratosphere has cooled, what is predicted if the warming is caused by GHGs; if caused by the Sun, both stratosphere and troposphere would warm...neither would cool.

4 - The models do a good job of describing the observed warming if rising GHGs are included, but are unable to reproduce the warming without the GHG increase.  Just as important, no one - including the deniers - has proposed a model that will reproduce the warming without the effect of increasing GHGs.  These models take everything into account that science allows, including the Sun.  To disregard the models you have to assume that there is some dominant factor that is canceling out the effect of GHGs and which no one - including highly motivated deniers - has been able to come up with.  Quite a stretch.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here are the things that are most convincing to me that GHGs are causing the observed warming.</p>
<p>1 &#8211; The warming is greater in winter than in summer, exactly what you expect if the warming is due to GHGs and exactly the opposite from what you expect if it is due to the Sun (deniers&#8217; favorite claim).</p>
<p>2 &#8211; The warming shows up first in the Arctic, again what you expect if GHG-caused, not if solar.</p>
<p>3 &#8211; While the troposphere has warmed, the stratosphere has cooled, what is predicted if the warming is caused by GHGs; if caused by the Sun, both stratosphere and troposphere would warm&#8230;neither would cool.</p>
<p>4 &#8211; The models do a good job of describing the observed warming if rising GHGs are included, but are unable to reproduce the warming without the GHG increase.  Just as important, no one &#8211; including the deniers &#8211; has proposed a model that will reproduce the warming without the effect of increasing GHGs.  These models take everything into account that science allows, including the Sun.  To disregard the models you have to assume that there is some dominant factor that is canceling out the effect of GHGs and which no one &#8211; including highly motivated deniers &#8211; has been able to come up with.  Quite a stretch.</p>
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		<title>By: David B. Benson</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22443</link>
		<dc:creator>David B. Benson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 22:03:29 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>mike --- I encourage you to read &quot;The Discovery of Global Warming&quot; by Spencer Weart:

http://www.aip.org/history/climate/index.html

Review of above:

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9F04E7DF153DF936A35753C1A9659C8B63</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>mike &#8212; I encourage you to read &#8220;The Discovery of Global Warming&#8221; by Spencer Weart:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.aip.org/history/climate/index.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.aip.org/history/climate/index.html</a></p>
<p>Review of above:</p>
<p><a href="http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9F04E7DF153DF936A35753C1A9659C8B63" rel="nofollow">http://query.nytimes.com/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>gst/<span style="font-size: 1px;"> </span>fullpage.html?res=9F04E7DF153DF936A35753C1A9659C8B63</a></p>
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		<title>By: David B. Benson</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22442</link>
		<dc:creator>David B. Benson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 22:00:59 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Elaine --- Those ice chunks coming from the Antarctic Pennisula, I presume.  No surprise there.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Elaine &#8212; Those ice chunks coming from the Antarctic Pennisula, I presume.  No surprise there.</p>
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		<title>By: mike</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22437</link>
		<dc:creator>mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 21:13:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22437</guid>
		<description>If you want to convince people to get on board with global warming, you need to convince them of 2 things at least.  The first is that the planet is heating up, which is what your post here is about.  The second, harder, thing is that human activity causes global warming.  The internet and popular culture are flooded with global warming news bites, but they offer nothing convincing to somebody with an atheist&#039;s threshold for required proof before belief.

If you really want to convince people of something put out more science showing a connection between global warming and human activity.  Models, chemistry, statistics, stuff like that can be used by people to show others that global warming is caused by humans.  I am no wizard with science, but from what I have seen so far, you have to explain that there is enough CO2 in the atmosphere to cause global warming.  It seems to me that if you could prove that in a paper that stood up to scrutiny then people would take global warming more seriously.  Honestly, I cant find anything that does this so far.  

To me there should be a paper somewhere that looks like a chemistry, physics or math paper that shows CO2 in our atmosphere causing global warming,</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you want to convince people to get on board with global warming, you need to convince them of 2 things at least.  The first is that the planet is heating up, which is what your post here is about.  The second, harder, thing is that human activity causes global warming.  The internet and popular culture are flooded with global warming news bites, but they offer nothing convincing to somebody with an atheist&#8217;s threshold for required proof before belief.</p>
<p>If you really want to convince people of something put out more science showing a connection between global warming and human activity.  Models, chemistry, statistics, stuff like that can be used by people to show others that global warming is caused by humans.  I am no wizard with science, but from what I have seen so far, you have to explain that there is enough CO2 in the atmosphere to cause global warming.  It seems to me that if you could prove that in a paper that stood up to scrutiny then people would take global warming more seriously.  Honestly, I cant find anything that does this so far.  </p>
<p>To me there should be a paper somewhere that looks like a chemistry, physics or math paper that shows CO2 in our atmosphere causing global warming,</p>
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		<title>By: Elaine</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22436</link>
		<dc:creator>Elaine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 20:55:23 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>As a matter of fact the CIRES team leader Konrad Steffen is in Antarctica now on sabbatical looking at the nature of things in mid summer there.
Now until about January 15th expect to hear about the ice chunks that will be breaking off the continental self down under.
I was in contact with him as he was in route from Chile to Antarctica His team is the lead agency that is measuring the warming trends in Greenland as well. Elaine</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As a matter of fact the CIRES team leader Konrad Steffen is in Antarctica now on sabbatical looking at the nature of things in mid summer there.<br />
Now until about January 15th expect to hear about the ice chunks that will be breaking off the continental self down under.<br />
I was in contact with him as he was in route from Chile to Antarctica His team is the lead agency that is measuring the warming trends in Greenland as well. Elaine</p>
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		<title>By: David B. Benson</title>
		<link>http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22430</link>
		<dc:creator>David B. Benson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 19:23:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/18/yes-the-data-shows-the-planet-still-keeps-warming/#comment-22430</guid>
		<description>Bob Wallace --- Yes, try a NOAA or NASA site.

But it is quit4e, quite dull:  little change except for the Antarctic Pennsiula, with rapid warming.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bob Wallace &#8212; Yes, try a NOAA or NASA site.</p>
<p>But it is quit4e, quite dull:  little change except for the Antarctic Pennsiula, with rapid warming.</p>
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